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	<title>Trends &#187; admin</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/author/admin/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress</link>
	<description>Business Magzine</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 04 Mar 2010 06:11:35 +0000</pubDate>
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	<language>en</language>
			<item>
		<title>Hellenizing Libya</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2009/08/04/hellenizing-libya/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2009/08/04/hellenizing-libya/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 15:22:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Editor's Choice]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Special Report]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=705</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In one of the Arab world’s most isolated countries, a Greek community school has been transformed into a social experiment in educating global citizens.

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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="text-decoration: underline; color: #0000ee;"><br />
</span></p>
<p>Across the Middle East, from Cairo and Istanbul to Damascus and Tehran, abandoned churches, schools and social clubs, wrought in the neoclassical style that was in vogue during the 19th century, lie abandoned.</p>
<p>Few efforts are made to revive them by the surviving octogenarian patriarchies. Instead, fossilized boards of directors meet once or twice a year inside these crumbling buildings, for extended procrastination sessions. They are surrounded by thick walls, their plaster peeling off. The dim roar of 21st century traffic peters through as a reminder of besieging modernity.</p>
<p>For Benghazi, a dusty Mediterranean city just 200 kilometers south of the Greek island of Crete, its Greek community reached the point of extinction in the 1980s, as an international embargo was slapped on Gadhafi&#8217;s Libya for its alleged role in the bombing of a Pan Am flight over Scotland.</p>
<p>Flocks of Greek businessmen departed as opportunities dried up. After a century of commercial back and forth that mirrored millennia of trade in this corner of the Mediterranean, socialist policies and a crippling bar on trade with the outside world dwindled a once-thriving community to a few families. 2004 was the last year the Greek community school functioned. That year, six teachers taught the two remaining students.</p>
<p>&#8221;In the name of maintaining Greekness we led ourselves into seclusion, even though Greece is in the European Union and most Greeks no longer live in homogenous ethnic states,&#8221; said Kanakis Mandolios, who is the president of Benghazi&#8217;s Greek community. &#8220;So we decided to create here in Libya a multicultural community of the type the EU is striving to replicate.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>A Bright Future</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2009/03/04/a-bright-future/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2009/03/04/a-bright-future/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 10:28:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Trends]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=533</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Call it doing well by doing good. Abu Dhabi’s Masdar Initiative has become a profile-raiser for the emirate, an aggressive move to rebrand the city from one the world’s worst polluters per capita into the Silicon Valley of environmental design. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!--StartFragment--></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">As part of the Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, a division of government-owned investment firm Mubadala, Masdar is pushing an aggressive, billion-dollar plan to develop and commercialize clean energy technologies.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">The Masdar Initiative’s headline project is Masdar City, a carbon-neutral community that aims to produce more energy than it consumes, using energy-efficient design and on-site renewable energy sources. The Emirate broke ground on Masdar City last February. It’s<span> </span>scheduled to open in 2016 and cost $22 billion.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">The bulk of the city’s power will come from solar panel installations on the ground and on rooftops, storing energy in Abu Dhabi’s municipal grid by day and using it at night. Masdar-funded researchers will also explore less mature technologies like geothermal and waste-to-energy methods. Housing 50,000 residents and 40,000 commuters, Masdar hopes the project will be a high-tech real estate venture as well as showcasing research and development – a living case study on clean energy applications.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">“Masdar is the playground or testing ground where all of these different applications will come together,” says Ziad Tassabehji, a former venture capitalist now heading the Masdar Clean Tech Fund, the Masdar Initiative’s $250 million investment, which is run in partnership with Credit Suisse.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">That Abu Dhabi, home to the world’s fifth-largest oil reserves, is spending billions on clean energy has raised more than a few eyebrows, and helped attract visitors to Abu Dhabi’s World Future Energy Summit in January. The three-day expo was put on for companies<span> </span>looking to do business with Masdar and with each other. Masdar used the forum to drop major announcements, including a pledge that by 2020, renewable energy will account for at least 7 percent of Abu Dhabi’s power use. General Electric also announced that it will be Masdar City’s first major tenant, part of its broader business engagement with Mubadala.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">Oil and gas majors like Shell, BP, and Chevron, the traditional enemies of clean energy proponents, also attended the event. “That the oil people are here for this conference is a very big deal,” says Eithne Treanor, an oil expert and media consultant. “Those who make their living off the carbon-fueled economy, it seems, have reconciled themselves that clean energy is an unavoidable part of the global energy mix.”</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">Smaller exhibitors like Torresol Energy of Spain, a renewable energy firm established as a joint venture between Masdar and Sener Group, showed off Masdar’s global reach. Sener offers decades of work in clean energy. In return it gets a boost from Masdar capital as well as a foothold in the lucrative MENA market.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">Abu Dhabi-based Enviromena was also on display. As Masdar’s first major commission, Enviromena has instantly become the largest solar-energy contractor in the Middle East. “We consider this the first market in the MENA region … this project is really a launch pad,” says Sami Khoreibi, Enviromena’s CEO. Khoreibi sees “tremendous interest” from around the region in developing solar power systems. Unlike oil and gas resources, which are concentrated in a handful of states, countries from Saudi Arabia to Morocco share abundant sunlight and vast tracts of desert ideal for solar power generation.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">“We’re seeing an awakening on all levels in the Middle East,” says Khoreibi. “Individuals through to the government see the value of going green.” </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">Procurement for Masdar City alone has ramped up capacity at firms like Enviromena and put pressure on not-so-green supply chains. To support Masdar’s zero-carbon calculus, the company demanded that producers churn out concrete made with recycled materials and steel made wholly from scrap metal. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">Stimulating the market for clean energy could become Masdar’s greatest achievement. In the process, it may just rake in the greenbacks too.<span> </span></span></p>
<p><!--EndFragment--></p>
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		<title>The Cost of War</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2009/03/01/the-cost-of-war/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2009/03/01/the-cost-of-war/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 10:25:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Focus]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Gaza]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Israel]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Palestine]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[West Bank]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=456</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Invading Gaza has weakened Palestine’s moderate president Mahmoud Abbas, and reignited hatred towards an increasingly militant Israel.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It wasn&#8217;t just a war between the Israeli army and Hamas but a war between peoples, with even Israeli and Palestinian children far away from the fighting being drawn in.</p>
<p>As Israeli ground forces surged forward in Gaza during the second week of January, six-year-old Ido Erdal was one of hundreds of children at a West Jeru-salem elementary school who brought home a note from the principal asking parents to donate care packages for soldiers at the front.</p>
<p>&#8221;It will be a package for the soldiers of today from the soldiers of tomorrow,&#8221; the principal wrote. His mother, Ayana, was dismayed by the note. &#8220;Do they have to make them soldiers already?&#8221; she asked.</p>
<p>Half an hour&#8217;s drive away, in the West Bank town of Ramallah, nine-year-old Palestinian girl scouts wearing green kerchiefs, their foreheads marked with the word Gaza in red, were among those marching through the main al-Manara square to protest Israel&#8217;s devastating military operation. They held up pictures of bandaged toddlers while dozens of de-monstrators chanted, &#8220;With blood and spirit, we will redeem you oh Gaza.&#8221;</p>
<p>A Palestinian Authority (PA) employee, from the northern West Bank city of Nablus who was interviewed in the square said, &#8220;I want to educate my kids to hate Israel. If I can&#8217;t do something maybe my kids can. I will educate them to fight the Israelis.&#8221;</p>
<p>Indeed, increasing hatred towards Israel on the Arab side will be one of the residues of the war that will make resolving the protracted Israeli-Palestinian conflict even harder. Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has also been weakened by the bloodshed. On the other side, a military approach that&#8217;s indifferent to causing Palestinian civilian casualties persists in Israel. And each of these signs point to a bleak prognosis for finding peace amidst Gaza&#8217;s rubble.</p>
<p>The Israeli foreign minister, Tzipi Livni, told Israelis that their overwhelming use of military power had worked. After three weeks of military combat, during which 13 Israelis and 1,200 Palestinian died - half of which are believed to have been civilians - Israel, she said, had restored its &#8220;deterrence.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Insurance of Arabia</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/30/insurance-of-arabia/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/30/insurance-of-arabia/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Dec 2008 08:22:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Insurance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=444</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While many people see Islamic insurance as a contradiction in terms, that isn't stopping it from flourishing in countries like Saudi Arabia.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Insurance only began to look like a proper industry in Saudi Arabia in  May 2004. That was when regulation and a system of controls finally drove the cowboys out of town. Prior to that, setting up and operating an insurance company was a matter of opening an office and little more. Some did and there is one instance of a company disappearing overnight and leaving thousands of people without motor insurance.<br />
While still young, the industry has quickly learned the benefits of tight regulation and transparency. The effect has been to reduce the number of smaller, unregistered companies while increasing the size of the 40 or so still operating today.<br />
It’s an area that has already demonstrated tremendous growth and attracted the interest of conventional insurers from around the world. Not least among these is Prudential Insurance in the UK, which operates a Shari’ah compliant life insurance (takaful) section in the UK and in Saudi Arabia through a cooperative agreement with Bank al-Jazira.<br />
The constitution of takaful companies prevents them from offering insurance to breweries, nightclubs and other areas where the activities are prevented by Shari’ah law. Nevertheless, it still can operate in a substantial range of areas  within the Shari’ah system.<br />
The energetic oil-driven economies of the Gulf region have shown sustained industrial and commercial development. This has provided fertile areas of growth for insurance such as marine, aviation, fire and engineering risks. And at the individual client level, health, home and buildings, motor and general accident insurance.</p>
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		<title>HOSPITALITY</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/29/hospitality/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/29/hospitality/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Dec 2008 09:17:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Brief]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=438</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[IHG inks pact to develop Syria’s first Holiday Inn
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DAMASCUS – InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) has announced that it has signed  an exclusive agreement with Syria’s Hedley International to develop the country’s first Holiday Inn in the capital city, Damascus. Due for completion in early 2011, Holiday Inn Damascus Old City is going to be set on a 2,000-square-meter site in the city center. The 300-room property is close to historic local landmarks such as the Citadel, Omayad Mosque and al-Hamidieh Souq. John Bamsey, the chief operating officer of IHG, Middle East and Africa, said: “The introduction of Holiday Inn into the country represents IHG’s continued expansion across the region, following our development announcement regarding the InterContinental Damascus earlier this year.” The proposed hotel is being designed with both business and leisure travelers in mind. Mohammed al-Refaey, the owner and chairman of Hedley International, said: “With the Syrian Government investing heavily in tourism, there is great potential to grow the hospitality sector throughout the country and we look forward to being part of this exciting development.” The UK-based company owns, manages, leases or franchises, through various subsidiaries, more than 4,000 hotels and more than 590,000 guest rooms in nearly 100 countries and territories around the world.</p>
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		<title>Bridging the Gulf</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/23/bridging-the-gulf/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/23/bridging-the-gulf/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Dec 2008 12:08:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Focus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=431</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Saudi Arabia must redraw its foreign policy to manage the region’s new geopolitical realities – and it faces significant hurdles along the way.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Five and a half years after the invasion of Iraq, the bitter, but undeniable truth for the Saudis is that their closest ally, the United States, has contributed mightily to degrading the kingdom’s position in the Middle East.<br />
The invasion and subsequent occupation of Iraq by American forces have shifted the balance of power across the Gulf region. In Riyadh’s case, it has meant watching its perennial rival, Iran, gather strength. The invasion has also inflamed the ancient sectarian rivalry between Sunni and Shi’ite Muslims. And on the kingdom’s northern border, the future of an important Arab country remains uncertain. These are huge challenges that Riyadh is pondering, rather than tackling.<br />
In a change from only a year ago, when the media was all about Saudi Arabia’s apparent bid to become the new heavyweight Arab leader, the kingdom now seems to have become more introverted.<br />
There are several reasons for this inactivity. Almost certainly, the kingdom is waiting for a new US administration to settle in and articulate its foreign policy agenda. In addition, an improvement in Iraq’s internal security has taken some urgency off Saudi concerns there.<br />
But some Saudis see the return to a lower foreign-policy profile as a reflection of a problem in the kingdom’s establishment. The Saudis’ biggest foreign policy challenge is “the Saudi challenge,” says Awadh al-Badi, a scholar at the Riyadh-based King Faisal Center for Research and Islamic Studies. “And by that I mean [the need] to develop a certain vision towards the role they want to play in the region.”<br />
The kingdom has a lot of moral and economic clout that would allow it to easily fill the current leadership vacuum in the Arab world, al-Badi adds. But Riyadh appears reluctant to take on that responsibility, he says, and instead “what we see is &#8230; a status quo country trying to manage things as they come.”<br />
The last turn. After the ascension of King Abdullah bin Abdul Aziz in 2005, the kingdom adopted a more activist foreign policy, even demonstrating at times a willingness to oppose Washington. In 2007, for example, it brokered the Mecca Agreement between the Palestinian parties of Fatah and Hamas over US objections. The deal fell apart, but Saudi Arabia showed it could do it on its own.<br />
Riyadh also vigorously promoted an Arab peace plan for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, even going so far as using uncharacteristically blunt language to criticize Hezbollah for provoking the 2006 Israeli invasion of its northern neighbor.<br />
Observers have speculated that Saudi Arabia might replace traditional leaders among Arab nations, who have now been sidelined: Egypt by internal economic and political problems, Syria by allying with Iran, and Iraq by the US occupation.<br />
This change would have been significant. The traditional culture of Saudi Arabia has an inherent streak of politeness combined with a strong aversion to criticize.<br />
The kingdom’s efforts to transcend this ideology are greater than people realize, notes Hadi Amr, executive director of the Brookings Institute think tank. “Traditionally, in this part of the world, you discuss your problems privately and not through the media. And so that’s how things have been done,” he adds.</p>
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		<title>THE LAST WORD</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/17/the-last-word/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/17/the-last-word/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Dec 2008 05:57:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Last Word]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=414</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The associate dean and senior lecturer in finance and accounting at the School of Management, University of Bradford, was in Dubai recently to teach about corporate finance as part of the university’s executive MBA program – the oldest of its kind in the region. Jonathan Howell-Jones caught up with him to get an expert view of what the Middle East can expect from the financial meltdown.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal"><strong>How long have you been coming to the region for?</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">I’ve been teaching here for at least eight years but I’ve been out here for tourism before that.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong>In the wake of the global meltdown, what factors do you think are going affect the region, and what will their impact be?</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">I think the region will be impacted – whether it’s impacted as adversely as, say, the UK or America is certainly yet to be seen. It’s certainly not immune from the global shocks that we’re seeing. If one thinks of stock markets, stock markets are all interrelated so the markets will be affected by the crashes that we’ve seen worldwide. In terms of employment, the region will obviously be protected by its oil revenues. What happens to the oil price will be impacted by the world economy generally, so a slowdown in the world economy will impact on the oil price and will therefore impact on the world economy. So, yet another interrelationship there.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong>Bond markets are now issuing local currency bonds, and there are calls to create a central currency for the Gulf. Are these sensible or protectionist measures?</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">First of all, you’ve mentioned protectionism. We’ve learned from the crash of the depression of 1929 that protectionism is bad for the world economy. So protectionism is not to be abdicated. And the local market is very much dependent on local trade. It doesn’t just survive by itself; it isn’t part of the global trade environment. So I don’t think protectionism will be good for the region. Whether it’s time to de-peg from the dollar; curiously it has been strengthening in recent months because of its safety so the dollar provides a measure of security and safety in times of turmoil. So, maybe now is not the time to be de-pegging from the dollar because of its consistency. In terms of finance, I think raising funds locally would make a lot of sense for a lot of companies. It’s a natural development for the economy. Dubai is developing, so that will be a natural extension anyway, perhaps accelerated by the recent turmoil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong>Higher oil prices ensure revenues. What factors will Gulf   states have to consider over the net 6-12 months?</strong></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: ">Over the next six to 12 months there is very little they can do unless they can influence the price of oil itself by cutting production and controlling it, such as OPEC are discussing … but that just shows the problem of being dependent on just one source of revenue, and if that sort of revenue is affected by world markets then you are ultimately going to be affected. I think, to be fair to these economies … people have gotten used to that environment. So, although we’ve fallen back, we’re at the same place we were at last year. So those economies should still be strong, but not as strong as we’ve seen. They still run the risk of being dependent on oil. </span></p>
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		<title>Write Like an Egyptian</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/16/write-like-an-egyptian/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/16/write-like-an-egyptian/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Dec 2008 13:19:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=396</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Media in the land of the Pharoahs are pushing free speech, but they may be missing how the local newspaper market is changing.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For journalists, Abdel Halim Qandil and Wael Alebrashy, Dec. 6 could mean packing their bags and heading to Egypt’s vile prisons. Both will hear an appeal verdict against a 2007 court order sentencing them to one year in jail for libeling Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and his son Gamal, deputy secretary-general of the ruling National Democratic Party (NDP).<br />
“Prison is fonder to me than Muba-rak’s pardon. He holds the right to pardon us and we seize the right to criticize him,” says Abdel Halim Qandil, ex-editor-in-chief of al-Karama, the Al Karama Political Party’s weekly newspaper, and the spokesperson of the anti-Mubarak Kefaya (Enough) movement.<br />
To Qandil, one of the most vocal critics of the Egyptian President, Mubarak’s pardon is both humiliating and deceptive. “[He] wants to beautify the image of the regime but proves [his] critics right. It is more dignified for the public prosecutor to suspend the imprisonment until the case reaches the Egyptian Supreme Court, the highest judicial institution.”<br />
Qandil’s imprisonment would not come as a surprise to Egyptians. “It is bound to happen,” is a commonly-heard response to their predicament. Qandil’s columns have embarrassed Mubarak for engineering a fifth term of office and leaving the presidency to his son Gamal.<br />
Alebrashy was not kidnapped, badly beaten or thrown half-naked, bruised and bleeding onto a motorway in 2004, as Qandil was. But he still remains a target of the undemocratic regime. Why? He published a blacklist of judges responsible for manipulating the results of the 2005 presidential elections.<br />
“What do I expect? The law knows no expectations. I assume the worst. On the night of Dec. 6, I will pack my personal belongings in a bag and prepare myself for prison,” says Alebrashy, ex-editor-in-chief of Sawt al-Ummah, an independent weekly newspaper.</p>
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		<title>Talk to the Boss</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/14/talk-to-the-boss/</link>
		<comments>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/14/talk-to-the-boss/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Dec 2008 13:44:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Focus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/?p=390</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Middle East consultant Reza Zia-Ebrahimi argues that relations with Iran need to focus on the right person – and it isn’t President Ahmadinejad.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are signs Washington has stopped seriously considering an attack on Iran. One of American Vice President Dick Cheney’s aides declared that 2007 was to be “Iran Year.” But that was before the financial crisis, before President Bush became a lame-duck President, and the surge in Iraq seemed to have somehow energized public opinion. That was when the risk for a serious clash with Iran was at its height. But no war horns were sounded.<br />
In 2008, more than ever, a plethora of military experts, Middle East pundits and global think tanks stressed that bombing Iran stood little chance of preventing its nuclear drive. First, Iranian nuclear facilities are spread across their large country and some of them are buried deep underground. Second, even if it were possible to destroy all of them, Iranian scientists’ technological know-how is not susceptible to being destroyed by bombs. Iran’s sense of insecurity can hardly be addressed by bombing it. Any attack will only further Iranians’ consensus that a nuclear deterrent is indispensable.<br />
Many experts also rightly warned that the security, political and economic reverberations of such an attack are too frightening to contemplate. It would destabilize the region, strengthen the Iranian regime and disrupt supplies of energy. It would expose Western targets to assaults by empowered proxies such as Hezbollah. Most importantly, it would deprive the West of its best potential ally to address the region’s issues.</p>
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		<title>THE CONUNDRUM</title>
		<link>http://www.trendsmagazine.net/out_wordpress/wordpress/2008/12/14/the-conundrum/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Dec 2008 13:35:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Banking/finance]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The World Economic Forum’s (WEF’s) recent inaugural summit in Dubai represented the equivalent of an intellectual assault course for its delegates on a range of socioeconomic and geopolitical issues (68 in fact). And at the heart of it lies a puzzle.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The World Economic Forum’s (WEF’s) recent inaugural summit in Dubai represented the equivalent of an intellectual assault course for its delegates on a range of socioeconomic and geopolitical issues (68 in fact). And at the heart of it lies a puzzle.<br />
Effectively, the experts have set the agenda that will be mooted by the deciders at Davos in January next year. This was no easy feat. A battalion of well-credentialed delegates had 48 hours to transform the issues into a working agenda. In uncertain times, it wasn’t easy to decide what the important issues were. “I’m not sure there has been much of a consensus apart from the fact that change is needed. I think that the change in the way we organize the world … it’s a very ambitious agenda, which the World Economic Forum has put in place,” said Allan Gyngell, executive director of the Lowy Institute for International Policy.<br />
The good news is that the mood was one of resolve and determination, not depression or panic. “I was in Tianjin at the World Economic Forum in China and it was dominated by the crisis and there was a lot of uncertainty and people were standing up and making these impassioned speeches about how terrible it could be and so on,” said one of the delegates, sustainable energy expert Michael Liebreich. “Whereas here, there’s very much the feeling that people are starting to work through the issues and ask, ‘what does it mean? How does my sector deal with it?’ And that’s very interesting to see.”<br />
The only disappointing thing about the forum was that the media were not allowed into sessions where discussions took place. One delegate admitted that the sessions can be fraught with debate and (sometimes verbal) conflict, which leads to the supposition that, like making sausages, this is not a process that should be on public display.<br />
Nevertheless, it was the paradox amidst a general call for greater transparency among organizations globally, combined with the need for more stringent corporate governance. Yet this region is still lacking in these areas and has much to do to improve its attractiveness to international investment. Don’t forget that the Santiago accord on sovereign wealth funds gives those funds a licence for opacity.<br />
What surprised many in the final agenda was that the economy was second in importance to the environment. As one delegate told the gathered assembly, “the financial crisis is just a bump in the road.” Meanwhile Mohammed al-Abbar, the CEO of Emaar and the forum’s co-chairman, assured the media that Dubai’s assets outweigh its debts.<br />
This seems laudable, but for one flaw. Last issue, TRENDS found that economics outweigh green issues in the region (“Pale Shade of Green,” November, 2008), and a survey by Neilsen that was commissioned by local PR company Asda’a found that, where Western youth see climate change as one of the three most important issues on their radar, it does not even register as a blip for Arab youth.<br />
These issues will affect the region, which is accumulating global influence. Indeed, out of the 700 delegates, 50 were from the region. Sheikh Mo-hammed, the UAE’s vice president and ruler of Dubai, gave a keynote speech and the emirate’s government reportedly contributed $10 million towards the event. At the G20 summit soon afterwards, the Gulf was represented by Saudi Arabia. The world order is changing, as Martha Kelly Carlson, chair of the Water Forum, noted. “It’s … symbolic that we’re holding this in Dubai, because the center of power is changing in the world. And this is one of the places it’s moving to.”<br />
The conundrum is this: while the region’s global influence is increasing, two of the major issues addressed are ones that do not resonate here. Even if the environmental issue is brushed aside (as it frequently is), getting businesses to be more transparent is not going to be easy. One idea came to mind: tougher lending criteria may well require businesses to be more open about their dealings, to gain funding. But that practice, which is common in the West, remains untried here.	</p>
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